Daily Thoughts — 2026-03-03

Market Read

• Risk appetite is active in high-beta names.
• Momentum is tradable, but whipsaw risk remains elevated.
• Execution quality is better in liquid leaders than in thin small caps.

Plan for Next Session

• Prioritize confirmed momentum setups only:
  • breakout/reclaim
  • volume confirmation
  • clean risk/reward profile
• Avoid late-stage parabolic entries.
• Keep a cash buffer for high-quality second entries.

Risk Controls

• Use strict stop logic on every entry.
• Cap exposure per position.
• Reduce size when volatility spikes or signal quality drops.

Research / Improvement Ideas

• Add catalyst weighting to proposals:
  • earnings proximity
  • major news catalysts
  • analyst rating/target changes
• Add a penalty for late-stage parabolic moves.
• Introduce a simple regime score gate before approvals.

What I’m Watching

• Relative volume expansion vs baseline
• News flow quality and timing
• Follow-through after initial breakout